{"id":20669,"date":"2025-10-21T10:49:28","date_gmt":"2025-10-21T08:49:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/?post_type=news&#038;p=20669"},"modified":"2025-11-21T14:11:54","modified_gmt":"2025-11-21T13:11:54","slug":"cyclical-flash-confindustria-duties-and-weak-dollar-push-down-165-italian-exports-to-the-usa","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/news\/cyclical-flash-confindustria-duties-and-weak-dollar-push-down-165-italian-exports-to-the-usa\/","title":{"rendered":"October Flash: duties and weak dollar push Italian exports to the US down 16.5%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According to the latest <em>Flash Conjunction<\/em> of<strong> Confindustria Centro Studi<\/strong>, the Italian economy remains exposed to negative external factors that put pressure on the productive fabric.<\/p>\n<h3>The impact of duties and the weak dollar on Italian exports<\/h3>\n<p>The main risk comes from international trade: the <strong>US duties<\/strong> and the <strong>devaluation of the dollar against the euro (+12.7% since the beginning of the year)<\/strong> determine a possible <strong>Italian exports to the US plummeted by -16.5%<\/strong>. A fact that weighs heavily on one of the most important markets for Made in Italy, undermining business confidence and limiting investment capacity.<\/p>\n<p>On the domestic front, the <strong>consumption<\/strong> are only minimally supported by the increase in real income (+0.3%), while precautionary saving prevails; the <strong>industrial production<\/strong> shows a mixed performance (-2.4% in August after +0.4% in July) with manufacturing PMI below 50, in the area of contraction.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong>investments<\/strong> maintain a positive trend, thanks to more accessible credit and a resilient capital goods sector, but fail to offset the weakness of exports. I <strong>services<\/strong> grow slowly, driven by tourism, but do not compensate for the slowdown in industry.<\/p>\n<h3>International scenario: Europe weak, USA slowing down, China growing<\/h3>\n<p>Globally, the<strong>Eurozone<\/strong> remains penalised by the crisis in German industry, the <strong>USA<\/strong> slow down (+0.9% GDP in the second quarter) and the <strong>China<\/strong> grew with recovering exports (+8.3% per annum in September), although it suffered a net drop in trade with Washington.<\/p>\n<p><strong>In summary:<\/strong> falling energy costs and reduced geopolitical uncertainty are not enough. Italy faces the impact of tariffs and a weak dollar, with a real risk of <strong>-16.5% of exports to the US.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Read <a href=\"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/publications\/oil-is-cheaper-and-global-uncertainty-eases-but-tariffs-and-a-devalued-dollar-weigh-heavily\/\">here the complete Flash Report<\/a>.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>According to the latest Flash Report by the Confindustria Study Centre, the Italian economy remains exposed to negative external factors that are putting pressure on the productive fabric. The impact of tariffs and the weak dollar on Italian exports The main risk comes from international trade: US tariffs and the devaluation of the dollar against the euro (+12.7% since the beginning of the year) are causing a [\u2026]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":20673,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":""},"in-evidenza":[78,82,83],"tag_globale":[96,333],"tema_globale":[],"tipo_news":[146],"class_list":["post-20669","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","in-evidenza-in-archivio-secondario","in-evidenza-in-homepage-top","in-evidenza-in-menu-navigazione","tag_globale-centro-studi","tag_globale-export","tipo_news-news"],"acf":{"contatti_repeater_news":"","persone_repeater_news":"","colore_fotogallery":"dark","immagini_fotogallery":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/20669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/news"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/20669\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20673"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"in-evidenza","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/in-evidenza?post=20669"},{"taxonomy":"tag_globale","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tag_globale?post=20669"},{"taxonomy":"tema_globale","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tema_globale?post=20669"},{"taxonomy":"tipo_news","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.confindustria.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tipo_news?post=20669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}